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Financial
Focus
Provided by Michael J Haynes
Edward Jones Investments
What
Do Falling Bond Prices Mean to You?
What Do Falling
Bond Prices Mean to You?
If you invest in bonds,
you've probably gotten a rude jolt when you looked
at your brokerage statements during the past month
or so. That's because bond prices have fallen
fast and far. Should you be concerned? Maybe
not as much as you'd think. In fact, if you're
investing in bonds for the right reasons, you may
have little to fear from falling prices.
A little
background
Two factors are largely responsible for the
sudden drop in the bond market. First, big gains in
employment have been reported in the past couple of
months. The financial markets saw this hiring surge
as the last major piece of an economic recovery
that already included growth in retail sales,
manufacturing, housing starts and consumer
confidence. Historically, stronger economic growth
has typically led to higher inflation and
higher inflation erodes the value of fixed-income
investments, such as bonds. Consequently, bond
prices have fallen in anticipation of rising
inflation.
The second factor behind
the slide in bond prices is the market's perception
that the Federal Reserve will seek to combat
inflation by raising interest rates, perhaps as
soon as this summer. And when interest rates rise,
bond prices fall. That's because existing bonds,
with their lower interest rates, are less
attractive to investors than newly issued bonds
paying higher rates.
Reasons to hold
bonds
Clearly, bond prices have fallen due to
economic forces not necessarily because
there's anything "wrong'' with your bonds. But that
may not make you feel much better over the recent
price decline. Should you sell your bonds to avoid
further losses? Actually, you've got some good
reasons to hold your bonds. Here are a few to
consider:
- Return of principal
When you purchase high quality,
investment grade bonds, you can expect to
receive the principal amount (called "face
value") back when the bonds mature.
- Regular interest
payments If you bought your bonds for the
income, you have little reason to sell. Your
interest payments will stay the same throughout
the life of the bond, no matter if prices rise
or fall as long as the bond issuer does not
default.
- Portfolio
diversification If you're
over-concentrated in one type of financial
asset, your portfolio is vulnerable to big
downturns if that one asset class takes a big
hit. So, if your holdings are getting too
stock-heavy, you'll want some bonds to lower
your risk level.
Build a bond
"ladder"
As we've seen, you
can achieve significant benefits by keeping your
bonds. At the same time, you don't have to be
victimized by ever-changing market interest rates.
Instead, you can work toward building an "all
weather'' portfolio by creating a "ladder" of bonds
with varying maturities.
When you construct a
ladder, you can take advantage of all interest-rate
environments. If market rates are low, you'll still
have higher-yielding, longer-term bonds working for
you (be aware of possible call features, though).
And when market rates rise, you can reinvest the
money coming due from your short-term bonds at the
higher rates. Ultimately, a well-constructed ladder
can help you smooth out your bond portfolio's
yield.
Look beyond your
statement
You don't like to see the value of any of your
investments decline. But by realizing that the
reasons you bought your bonds are still valid, and
by diversifying your bond portfolio through a
ladder, you can look beyond the seemingly bad news
of your monthly statement and stay on track
toward your important financial goals.
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